Al Qadsia 2-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.96/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.06
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Nasar
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.05.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-4 HT 1-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
03.05.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
07.01.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
22.10.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
13.02.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 5-1 HT 2-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
02.10.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Qadsia
2-1
AWAY Al Nasar
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qadsia squeezed past Al Nasar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Qadsia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Qadsia had 52% of the ball to Al Nasar's 48%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Qadsia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Qadsia and 0.50 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar?

Al Qadsia 2-1 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 57%, draw 21%, Al Nasar 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qadsia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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