Stromsgodset II 3-1 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.96
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.18
No
34%
4.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.3pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.3pp
66%
BTTS Yes
82%
-15.8pp
34%
BTTS No
18%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.98/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/2.98
+74% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lilleström II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Lilleström II Lilleström II 1-2 HT 1-1 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II NOR4
08.04.2022 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II 1-1 HT 1-1 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset II
3-1
AWAY Lilleström II
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset II vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset II saw off Lilleström II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stromsgodset II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stromsgodset II had 54% of the ball to Lilleström II's 46%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stromsgodset II and 1.00 for Lilleström II.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset II vs Lilleström II?

Stromsgodset II 3-1 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset II vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset II 43%, draw 22%, Lilleström II 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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