Lilleström II 1-2 Stromsgodset II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.94
Over 2.5
71%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.29
No
34%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
29%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.0pp
71%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
73%
-7.0pp
34%
BTTS No
27%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.87/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.29
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Stromsgodset II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2022 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II 1-1 HT 1-1 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström II
1-2
AWAY Stromsgodset II
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lilleström II vs Stromsgodset II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset II squeezed past Lilleström II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lilleström II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lilleström II had 53% of the ball to Stromsgodset II's 47%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Stromsgodset II?

Lilleström II 1-2 Stromsgodset II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Stromsgodset II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 47%, draw 26%, Stromsgodset II 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lilleström II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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