Sarpsborg 08 II 0-3 Asker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.35
2-3 Goals
37%
2.23
4-5 Goals
26%
2.44
6+ Goals
14%
4.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+10.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-12.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.5pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Asker EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
1.20/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.00
-31% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Asker
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
13.08.2023 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 3-2 HT 3-0 Asker Asker NOR4
24.07.2023 Asker Asker 5-1 HT 3-1 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
0-3
AWAY Asker
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Asker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asker cruised past Sarpsborg 08 II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Asker found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 40% of the ball to Asker's 60%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sarpsborg 08 II and 3.50 for Asker.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Asker?

Sarpsborg 08 II 0-3 Asker in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Asker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asker win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 37%, draw 23%, Asker 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asker), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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