Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-1 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0-1
Warta Poznan
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Poland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Warta Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.13
6+ Goals
7%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.6pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg v Warta Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.78
-32% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan edged past Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Warta Poznan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Warta Poznan?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-1 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kotwica Kolobrzeg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 38%, draw 26%, Warta Poznan 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kotwica Kolobrzeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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