Miedz Legnica 1-0 Chrobry Glogow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
2.02/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.58
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
20.01.2024 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 2-1 HT 2-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica HAZ
30.09.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
30.04.2022 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
22.10.2021 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
11.04.2021 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
1-0
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Glogow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica nicked a narrow win over Chrobry Glogow 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Miedz Legnica as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 57% of the ball to Chrobry Glogow's 43%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Miedz Legnica and 0.50 for Chrobry Glogow.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Glogow?

Miedz Legnica 1-0 Chrobry Glogow in the Poland - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Glogow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 55%, draw 25%, Chrobry Glogow 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miedz Legnica), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Warta Poznan Analysis →
20:35 Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Plock Analysis →