SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

SKRA Czestochowa
2-1
Olimpia Grudziadz
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

SKRA Czestochowa vs Olimpia Grudziadz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.8
Over Pick
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.14
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
26%
3.73
6+
12%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SKRA Czestochowa v Olimpia Grudziadz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz The Market 51%
+16% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.89/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.22
-33% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards –

SKRA Czestochowa vs Olimpia Grudziadz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
15.03.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
09.09.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 5-1 HT 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
02.09.2023 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
15.05.2021 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
22.11.2020 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 4-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa nicked a narrow win over Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Grudziadz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 0.67 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 30%, draw 24%, Olimpia Grudziadz 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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