Polonia Bytom 2-0 Hutnik Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.23
Over
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.57
2-3
36%
1.9
4-5
24%
2.88
6+
15%
8.24
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.57 — our 25% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Polonia Bytom win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.1pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hutnik Krakow The Market 12%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
3.49/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.47
+64% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 4-1 HT 3-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
14.10.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 0-1 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
2-0
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Hutnik Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom got the better of Hutnik Krakow 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 50% of the ball to Hutnik Krakow's 50%, shots finished 20-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hutnik Krakow led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Polonia Bytom and 2.50 for Hutnik Krakow.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Hutnik Krakow?

Polonia Bytom 2-0 Hutnik Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Hutnik Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 61%, draw 22%, Hutnik Krakow 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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