Trencin 2-1 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
12%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 27% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.15
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +64%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.8 Crosses 18.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Skalica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.81
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
400 Passes 167
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-4 HT 0-3 Trencin Trencin SLVK
16.03.2024 Trencin Trencin 1-3 HT 1-3 Skalica Skalica SLVK
02.03.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
21.10.2023 Trencin Trencin 0-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
18.03.2023 Skalica Skalica 2-0 HT 2-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
15.10.2022 Trencin Trencin 3-1 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
2-1
AWAY Skalica
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Trencin vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin edged past Skalica 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trencin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trencin had 57% of the ball to Skalica's 43%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trencin and 1.00 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Trencin vs Skalica?

Trencin 2-1 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trencin 44%, draw 25%, Skalica 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trencin), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trencin) ✓ Over 2.5
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