CA Bizertin 1-1 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.53
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.93
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
15%
7.22
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.0pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
0.55/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.94
-60% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Bizertin
4W-2D-0L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-2 HT 0-1 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
06.02.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
30.12.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 4-2 HT 1-2 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
08.10.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1B
14.05.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-2 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
26.03.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 3-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
POST-MATCH CA Bizertin vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Bizertin and ES Metlaoui shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was CA Bizertin at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Bizertin had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CA Bizertin and 0.83 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of CA Bizertin vs ES Metlaoui?

CA Bizertin 1-1 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Bizertin vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Bizertin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CA Bizertin 44%, draw 29%, ES Metlaoui 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA Bizertin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Bizertin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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