ES Metlaoui 2-2 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.33
Over 2.5
25%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.6
No
70%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
53%
1.8
2-3 Goals
26%
1.92
4-5 Goals
16%
8.1
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.5pp
75%
Under 2.5
72%
+3.6pp
25%
Over 2.5
28%
-3.6pp
30%
BTTS Yes
34%
-4.5pp
70%
BTTS No
66%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.01/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.41
+18% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CA Bizertin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
30.12.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 4-2 HT 1-2 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
08.10.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1B
14.05.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-2 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
26.03.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 3-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
06.04.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 0-1 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui and CA Bizertin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 36% / 23% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Bizertin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Metlaoui and 2.17 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin?

ES Metlaoui 2-2 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 41%, draw 36%, CA Bizertin 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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TUN More Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme
27 Apr 2024
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