AS Ariana 0-1 Hammam-Sousse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 19 Oct 2024

AS Ariana
0-1
Hammam-Sousse
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

AS Ariana vs Hammam-Sousse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.0pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AS Ariana v Hammam-Sousse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 32%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+150% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Hammam-Sousse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Sousse edged past AS Ariana 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AS Ariana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Hammam-Sousse?

AS Ariana 0-1 Hammam-Sousse in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Hammam-Sousse?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 45%, draw 27%, Hammam-Sousse 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AS Ariana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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