EM Mahdia 0-1 Korba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 19 Oct 2024

EM Mahdia
0-1
Korba
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

EM Mahdia vs Korba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.56
Over 2.5
31%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.99
No
65%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.7pp
37%
Draw
29%
+7.9pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
60%
+8.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
40%
-8.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
46%
-11.0pp
65%
BTTS No
54%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EM Mahdia v Korba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Korba EU Bookmakers 36%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.51/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.00
-61% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs Korba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korba edged past EM Mahdia 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 37% / 28% — and on the day Korba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Korba?

EM Mahdia 0-1 Korba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Korba?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 35%, draw 37%, Korba 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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