Kampala City 0-0 UPDF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY UPDF EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.74/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.29
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
361 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
2W-0D-0L
AWAY UPDF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2024 Kampala City Kampala City 1-0 HT 1-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
05.04.2022 UPDF UPDF 0-3 HT 0-1 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
0-0
AWAY UPDF
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs UPDF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City and UPDF fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kampala City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Kampala City had 62% of the ball to UPDF's 38%, shots finished 11-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kampala City and 0.00 for UPDF.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs UPDF?

Kampala City 0-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs UPDF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 48%, draw 30%, UPDF 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kampala City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kampala City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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