Changchun Xidu 0-3 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
63%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
63%
Away Win
71%
-7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun Xidu EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +86%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
229 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
Crosses 18.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun Xidu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.76 xG 1.04
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 7
199 Passes 442
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 4-1 HT 1-0 Changchun Xidu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun Xidu
0-3
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
0.21 xG 1.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
253 Passes 421
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Changchun Xidu vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen cruised past Changchun Xidu 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guangxi Hengchen as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Changchun Xidu had 41% of the ball to Guangxi Hengchen's 59%, shots finished 4-22, expected goals 0.21 to 1.74.

What was the final score of Changchun Xidu vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Changchun Xidu 0-3 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun Xidu vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Changchun Xidu 14%, draw 22%, Guangxi Hengchen 63%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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