Nantong Zhiyun 3-0 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 23%
-15% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.11
+9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
29.0 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 0.94
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
402 Passes 179
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.06.2025 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-2 HT 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
03.07.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
17.06.2022 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 2-1 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
3-0
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.22 xG 0.39
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
368 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun cruised past Guangxi Baoyun 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nantong Zhiyun as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 61% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 39%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.22 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nantong Zhiyun had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.33 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Nantong Zhiyun 3-0 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantong Zhiyun win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 51%, draw 28%, Guangxi Baoyun 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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