Lindome GIF 3-5 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.1pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lindome GIF EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
2.37/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.39
+4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lindome GIF
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-3 HT 0-0 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF İSÇ4
03.10.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-1 HT 1-1 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF İSÇ4
20.06.2024 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF 3-0 HT 2-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
15.09.2023 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF 2-0 HT 0-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
20.05.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Lindome GIF vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF got the better of Lindome GIF 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Lindome GIF carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lindome GIF had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Lindome GIF and 0.60 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Lindome GIF vs Varbergs GIF?

Lindome GIF 3-5 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lindome GIF vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lindome GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Lindome GIF 62%, draw 22%, Varbergs GIF 16%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lindome GIF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lindome GIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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