Las Palmas 3-1 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.19
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.49
X/2
11%
6.74
X/X
14%
3.52
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
8%
5.88
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -17%
1.24/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.27
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.0 Crosses 18.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Eibar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 Passes 252
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.05.2023 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
06.11.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
15.04.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-2 HT 1-2 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
18.12.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
12.05.2018 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
06.01.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
3-1
AWAY Eibar
1.79 xG 0.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
259 Passes 412
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas got the better of Eibar 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 40% of the ball to Eibar's 60%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Palmas and 1.17 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Eibar?

Las Palmas 3-1 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 47%, draw 28%, Eibar 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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