CD Castellon 0-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.95
6+ Goals
15%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.99
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
25%
4.19
X/2
6%
10.65
X/X
9%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.85
2/2
10%
8.22
2/X
8%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.4pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.21/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.60
+17% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.0 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Albacete
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.83 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 201
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2025 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-2 HT 1-2 Albacete Albacete İS2
08.12.2024 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
06.08.2023 Albacete Albacete 6-2 HT 1-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon HAZ
17.04.2022 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS3
28.08.2021 Albacete Albacete 3-1 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
31.03.2021 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
0-1
AWAY Albacete
2.21 xG 2.06
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 3
383 Passes 190
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete edged past CD Castellon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 64% of the ball to Albacete's 36%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.21 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Castellon and 1.83 for Albacete.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Albacete?

CD Castellon 0-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 54%, draw 23%, Albacete 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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