Poblense 3-2 Castellon II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poblense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Castellon II EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -59%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Poblense vs Castellon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poblense edged past Castellon II 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Poblense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Poblense vs Castellon II?

Poblense 3-2 Castellon II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poblense vs Castellon II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poblense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Poblense 47%, draw 27%, Castellon II 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poblense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Poblense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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