Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.11/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.30
-22% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Gernika
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2025 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 HT 0-1 Gernika Gernika İS4
15.09.2024 Gernika Gernika 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
28.01.2024 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 HT 0-1 Gernika Gernika İS4
17.09.2023 Gernika Gernika 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
30.04.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-0 HT 0-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
17.12.2022 Gernika Gernika 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0-1
AWAY Gernika
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika squeezed past Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 61% of the ball to Gernika's 39%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gernika led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.33 for Gernika.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Gernika?

Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 49%, draw 24%, Gernika 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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