Deportivo Alaves II vs Gernika Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves II v Gernika — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves II vs Gernika Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Alaves II
İS4
0-0
HT 0-0
Gernika
İS4
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves II
İS4
Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 Gernika — Actual Match Statistics
Gernika squeezed past Deportivo Alaves II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 66% of the ball to Gernika's 34%, shots finished 15-12.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gernika led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.33 for Gernika.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Gernika?
Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Gernika?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 50%, draw 29%, Gernika 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.