Formentera 2-2 La Nucia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Formentera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY La Nucia EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.20/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.27
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Formentera
1W-0D-0L
AWAY La Nucia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2023 La Nucia La Nucia 0-2 HT 0-0 Formentera Formentera İS4
POST-MATCH Formentera vs La Nucia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Formentera and La Nucia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Formentera vs La Nucia?

Formentera 2-2 La Nucia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Formentera vs La Nucia?

Before kick-off our model rated an La Nucia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Formentera 35%, draw 30%, La Nucia 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (La Nucia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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