Penya Independent 0-3 Valencia II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Independent EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia II EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.41/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.88
+37% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Independent
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Valencia II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Valencia II Valencia II 1-1 HT 0-0 Penya Independent İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Independent
0-3
AWAY Valencia II
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Penya Independent vs Valencia II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia II cruised past Penya Independent 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valencia II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Penya Independent had 39% of the ball to Valencia II's 61%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Penya Independent vs Valencia II?

Penya Independent 0-3 Valencia II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Independent vs Valencia II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Penya Independent 32%, draw 28%, Valencia II 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valencia II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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