Getafe II 3-3 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.9pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.38/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.15
+17% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cacereno
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe II
3-3
AWAY Cacereno
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Getafe II vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe II and Cacereno couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Getafe II had 57% of the ball to Cacereno's 43%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Getafe II vs Cacereno?

Getafe II 3-3 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe II vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Getafe II 36%, draw 31%, Cacereno 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Getafe II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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