Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Vallecano II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 46%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.40
+92% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano II
0-1
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo squeezed past Rayo Vallecano II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colonia Moscardo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Vallecano II had 62% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 38%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardo?

Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano II 32%, draw 24%, Colonia Moscardo 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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