Bayern München (K) 5-1 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2025

Bayern München (K)
5-1 HT 1-1
Köln (K)
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
4%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
28%
X/2
1%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
1%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
82%
-1.4pp
14%
Draw
10%
+4.0pp
4%
Away Win
7%
-2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v Köln (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.30/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.15
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -6%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
461 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
20.8 Crosses 11.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Köln (K)
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.95 xG 0.27
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
571 Passes 245
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Köln (K) Köln (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
05.10.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB
10.02.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 0-5 HT 0-3 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
02.10.2023 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB

Bayern München (K) 5-1 Köln (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
5-1
AWAY Köln (K)
2.15 xG 0.69
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
464 Passes 175
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) swept aside Köln (K) 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 67% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 33%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.15 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Bayern München (K) and 0.00 for Köln (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K)?

Bayern München (K) 5-1 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 81%, draw 14%, Köln (K) 4%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALKB More Germany - Women's Bundesliga
19 Oct 2025
13:00 Union Berlin (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Analysis →
18:15 Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Analysis →