Penya Encarnada 2-1 Carroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Carroi EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.46/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.82
+52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Carroi
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.02.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 1-0 Carroi AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Encarnada
2-1
AWAY Carroi
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs Carroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada nicked a narrow win over Carroi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Penya Encarnada had 62% of the ball to Carroi's 38%, shots finished 17-3.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

Penya Encarnada 2-1 Carroi in the Andorra - 1st Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 62%, draw 22%, Carroi 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✓ Over 2.5
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