Lobos UPNFM 1-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Oct 2025

Lobos UPNFM
1-1 HT 0-0
Platense
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Lobos UPNFM vs Platense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.8pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lobos UPNFM v Platense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.74/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.17
+30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Lobos UPNFM vs Platense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Platense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.08.2025 Platense Platense 4-1 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.04.2022 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
10.02.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 0-2 Platense Platense HON
27.09.2021 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
18.04.2021 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense HON
30.11.2020 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM and Platense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lobos UPNFM at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Platense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.67 for Platense.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Platense?

Lobos UPNFM 1-1 Platense in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 44%, draw 28%, Platense 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lobos UPNFM), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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