Tiszakecske 2-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiszakecske EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.22
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiszakecske
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ajka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.11.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
01.11.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MACK
09.04.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-3 HT 0-3 Ajka Ajka MAC2
09.10.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
06.04.2022 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 4-1 HT 2-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
POST-MATCH Tiszakecske vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiszakecske squeezed past Ajka 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Tiszakecske made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tiszakecske had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tiszakecske and 1.17 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Tiszakecske vs Ajka?

Tiszakecske 2-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiszakecske vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiszakecske win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tiszakecske 37%, draw 27%, Ajka 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tiszakecske) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tiszakecske) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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