Ikorodu City 2-0 Nasarawa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +24%
2.34/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+68% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ikorodu City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nasarawa United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
28.09.2024 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 1-2 HT 1-1 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Nasarawa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City saw off Nasarawa United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ikorodu City and 1.00 for Nasarawa United.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Nasarawa United?

Ikorodu City 2-0 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Nasarawa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 50%, draw 29%, Nasarawa United 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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