Assiden IF 3-4 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 19 Oct 2025

Assiden IF
3-4 HT 1-1
Lilleström II
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2025

Assiden IF vs Lilleström II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
25.5
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
40%
4.45
4-5 Goals
29%
2.43
6+ Goals
13%
1.71
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 4.45 — our 40% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.4pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Assiden IF v Lilleström II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assiden IF EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 34%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
3.87/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/2.87
+66% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
366 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Assiden IF vs Lilleström II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assiden IF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lilleström II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.07.2025 Lilleström II Lilleström II 4-3 HT 2-3 Assiden IF Assiden IF NOR4
POST-MATCH Assiden IF vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström II edged past Assiden IF 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Assiden IF at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Assiden IF vs Lilleström II?

Assiden IF 3-4 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assiden IF vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assiden IF win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Assiden IF 53%, draw 16%, Lilleström II 31%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Assiden IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Assiden IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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