Amarante 1-2 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leixoes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
21.10.2018 Leixoes Leixoes 3-1 HT 1-0 Amarante Amarante POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-2
AWAY Leixoes
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
7 Yellow Cards 7
FAQ Amarante vs Leixoes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Leixoes edged past Amarante 2-1 away from home in the Portugal - Cup on 19 Oct 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Amarante had 36% of the ball to Leixoes's 64%, shots finished 4-24.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Leixoes?

Amarante 1-2 Leixoes in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Amarante 30%, draw 29%, Leixoes 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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