Fafe 1-0 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 54%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.33/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.34
-2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-0
AWAY Moreirense
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Fafe vs Moreirense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fafe edged past Moreirense 1-0 in the Portugal - Cup on 19 Oct 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fafe had 41% of the ball to Moreirense's 59%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Moreirense?

Fafe 1-0 Moreirense in the Portugal - Cup on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fafe 28%, draw 22%, Moreirense 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Moreirense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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