Fenerbahçe 2-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
78%
1.29
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.43
Over
64%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
16%
5.0
2-3
43%
1.95
4-5
30%
2.66
6+
11%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1.45
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
22.7
X/1
22%
3.77
X/2
3%
20.1
X/X
8%
8.73
2/1
3%
21.05
2/2
4%
17.05
2/X
3%
26.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fenerbahçe The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük The Market 14%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.72 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.20
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
35 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.29 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
466 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
26.11.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
10.04.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
09.10.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-4 HT 2-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
15.05.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
22.12.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
2 - 1
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
2.72 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
367 Passes 236
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
41 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Fenerbahçe vs Fatih Karagümrük
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fenerbahçe found just enough to beat Fatih Karagümrük 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (64%) landed.

On the day, possession split 59% to 41% in Fenerbahçe's favour, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.72 to 0.84 — on chances created, Fenerbahçe won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Fenerbahçe against 1.33 for Fatih Karagümrük.

Fenerbahçe vs Fatih Karagümrük Result & Final Score

Fenerbahçe 2 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fenerbahçe vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 78%, draw 14%, Fatih Karagümrük 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
19 Oct 2025
14:30 Kayserispor vs Samsunspor Analysis →
17:00 Alanyaspor vs Göztepe Analysis →
17:00 Gaziantep FK vs Antalyaspor Analysis →