Bath City 3-3 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.96
No
64%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
4.71
6+ Goals
5%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 41% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.5pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
0.73/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.40
-41% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-2 HT 1-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
12.08.2023 Bath City Bath City 3-0 HT 2-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
05.02.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-1 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
25.09.2021 Bath City Bath City 0-3 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
18.02.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
12.10.2019 Bath City Bath City 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
3-3
AWAY Maidstone United
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City and Maidstone United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bath City had 30% of the ball to Maidstone United's 70%, shots finished 5-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bath City and 1.33 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Maidstone United?

Bath City 3-3 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bath City 31%, draw 30%, Maidstone United 39%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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