Oxford City vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oxford City v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Oxford City 1-2 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town edged past Oxford City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alfreton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Oxford City had 53% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 47%, shots finished 9-12.
What was the final score of Oxford City vs Alfreton Town?
Oxford City 1-2 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 35%, draw 31%, Alfreton Town 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.