Cerro Largo 4-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.39/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.14
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
248 Passes 354
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
15.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
06.03.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.08.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
18.03.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers CSA
11.03.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
4-0
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 9
16 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo cruised past Montevideo Wanderers 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Largo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 58% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 42%, shots finished 23-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.00 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Cerro Largo 4-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 44%, draw 26%, Montevideo Wanderers 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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