Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 May 2024

Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 HT 1-0
Cerro Largo
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montevideo Wanderers v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.34
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 0.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
354 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
06.03.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.08.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
18.03.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers CSA
11.03.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo CSA
15.02.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU

Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 Cerro Largo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers edged past Cerro Largo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Montevideo Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 53%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.50 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?

Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 33%, draw 33%, Cerro Largo 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Largo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
19 May 2024
00:00 Defensor Sporting vs CA Penarol Analysis →
18:30 Danubio vs Racing Club Montevideo Analysis →
21:00 Boston River vs Cerro Analysis →