Boston River 2-0 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.32/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.18
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Cerro
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
27.08.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
12.02.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerro Cerro URU
06.03.2021 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
10.09.2020 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
2-0
AWAY Cerro
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River beat Cerro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Boston River found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boston River had 63% of the ball to Cerro's 37%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Boston River and 1.50 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Cerro?

Boston River 2-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boston River 34%, draw 28%, Cerro 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5
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