Danubio 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.12/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.01
-8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
04.03.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
29.09.2021 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU2
27.11.2019 Danubio Danubio 3-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
26.09.2015 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
15.02.2015 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
0-1
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo edged past Danubio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Racing Club Montevideo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Danubio had 46% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 54%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Danubio and 0.83 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Danubio 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Danubio 34%, draw 28%, Racing Club Montevideo 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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