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Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Real Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Arsenal (K) 2-1 Real Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 53% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 47%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.12 to 0.64.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal (K) and 1.00 for Real Madrid (K).
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Arsenal (K) 2-1 Real Madrid (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 63%, draw 19%, Real Madrid (K) 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.