Wolfsburg (K) 5-2 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 19 Nov 2025

📅19/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.33
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.29
Over
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.49
2-3
35%
1.88
4-5
28%
2.75
6+
10%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
39%
+9.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
5-2
AWAY Manchester United (K)
2.09 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
247 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) cruised past Manchester United (K) 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 49% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 51%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.09 to 1.18.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 5-2 Manchester United (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 48%, draw 20%, Manchester United (K) 31%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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