Oriente Petrolero 1-4 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.2pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 69%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.65
-100% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
Crosses 19.8
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bolivar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.77 xG 2.15
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
124 Passes 440
65% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 2-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
01.04.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 4-2 HT 1-2 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.02.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
30.07.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
27.02.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 4-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
01.11.2021 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-3 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1-4
AWAY Bolivar
1.91 xG 1.69
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
121 Passes 273
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar cruised past Oriente Petrolero 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 36% of the ball to Bolivar's 64%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.91 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 2.67 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Bolivar?

Oriente Petrolero 1-4 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 26%, draw 23%, Bolivar 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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