Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.43
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
66%
-19.7pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.9pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.9pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.23/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.21
-41% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
18.4 Crosses 11.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Wilstermann
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
260 Passes 251
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
23.08.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
09.04.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
18.09.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
23.04.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
20.02.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-0 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1-1
AWAY Wilstermann
1.16 xG 1.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
283 Passes 424
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto and Wilstermann shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Universitario de Vinto at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 41% of the ball to Wilstermann's 59%, shots finished 9-25, expected goals 1.16 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 0.50 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Wilstermann?

Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 46%, draw 28%, Wilstermann 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitario de Vinto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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