Zamalek 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.45/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.22
+67% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.4 Crosses 16.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
368 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 4-2 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
14.06.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
26.04.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
23.10.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
28.06.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 3-2 HT 2-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.11.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.19 xG 0.97
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
494 Passes 227
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek and Ceramica Cleopatra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zamalek at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Zamalek had 66% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 34%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.19 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zamalek and 0.83 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Zamalek 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 43%, draw 25%, Ceramica Cleopatra 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zamalek), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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