URA vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
URA v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals
URA 1-0 Lugazi Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
URA squeezed past Lugazi Municipal 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.
On the day, URA had 45% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 55%, shots finished 13-7.
What was the final score of URA vs Lugazi Municipal?
URA 1-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for URA vs Lugazi Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split URA 45%, draw 31%, Lugazi Municipal 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.