Uganda Police vs Maroons Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v Maroons — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police 1-2 Maroons — Actual Match Statistics
Maroons nicked a narrow win over Uganda Police 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Maroons found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Uganda Police had 58% of the ball to Maroons's 42%, shots finished 8-7.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Maroons?
Uganda Police 1-2 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Maroons?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 39%, draw 29%, Maroons 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.