Hertha Berlin 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Dec 2025

Hertha Berlin
1-1 HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
📅19/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 25% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.8
X/2
8%
7.89
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.85
2/2
9%
5.85
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hertha Berlin v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.81/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.74
-23% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.5 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.18 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.04.2022 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
11.12.2021 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL1
09.05.2021 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL1
10.01.2021 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
09.01.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 4-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld HAZ
10.08.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK

Hertha Berlin 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
1-1
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
0.90 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
310 Passes 198
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin and Arminia Bielefeld shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 58% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 42%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.90 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hertha Berlin and 0.50 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Hertha Berlin 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 51%, draw 26%, Arminia Bielefeld 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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