Paderborn 2-2 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Dec 2025

Paderborn
2-2 HT 0-2
Darmstadt 98
📅19/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Paderborn vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
29%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.81
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
5.07
X/2
12%
7.34
X/X
9%
5.31
2/1
8%
23.1
2/2
10%
4.98
2/X
9%
13.4
Value flag · X/1 at 5.07 — our 25% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.4pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paderborn v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.08/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.61
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.7 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Paderborn vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 Passes 285
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.01.2025 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
11.08.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 3-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
09.04.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
30.09.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 1-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
15.05.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-0 HT 3-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
11.12.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2

Paderborn 2-2 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
2-2
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.43 xG 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
485 Passes 238
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
53 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn and Darmstadt 98 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Paderborn had 65% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 35%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.43 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paderborn and 1.50 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Darmstadt 98?

Paderborn 2-2 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 45%, draw 25%, Darmstadt 98 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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